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07.02.2025 05:01 AM
2025年2月7日英鎊/美元預測

英格蘭銀行昨日的降息並未將英鎊推離1.2367–1.2500的區間。從技術角度來看,這次70點的價格下跌並不表示看空力量強勁;相反地,它表示多頭的暫時疲弱,因為受到降息影響無法鞏固在1.2500之上。這給予看多交易者另一個嘗試突破的機會,尤其是在預期美國就業數據疲弱的背景下。對於非農就業數據的預測為169K,相較於12月的256K。

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價格與振盪指標之間的弱背離仍然存在,但這可能已被昨天的價格下跌消耗。這一背離正演變為一個盤整區間(用灰色矩形表示)。從這個角度來看,突破1.2500阻力位似乎可能實現,目標為1.2616。

然而,如果美國勞動力市場數據意外強勁,且價格跌破1.2367支撐位,美元將繼續整體走強,推動英鎊下跌至1.2186。

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在四小時時間框架內,價格位於MACD線下方,但在平衡線上方。Marlin振盪器處於中性零水平,表示價格正處於觀望階段,等待著今天的重要新聞。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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