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28.03.2025 05:01 AM
2025年3月28日美元/日元預測

昨天,Donald Trump 簽署了一項行政命令,對所有進口到美國的汽車及其零部件加徵25%的關稅。汽車的關稅將於4月3日生效,而零部件的關稅將於5月3日開始實施。受此消息影響,日元貶值了0.18%,今天亞洲交易時段,日經225指數下跌了2.14%。隨著日經225指數的走低,我們預計美元/日元(USD/JPY)匯率將下跌,這一貨幣對部分維持其作為"避險"資產的地位,以及隨著資本回流日本,儘管步伐緩慢,但投資者正在穩步撤離美國國債。

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在日線圖上,價格已接近38.2%斐波那契回檔位,與目標151.30相吻合。Marlin指標已準備反轉,價格可能回到支撐位149.38。若在此水平以下鞏固,將開啟向145.91的下行通路。若在151.30之上鞏固,則只會將當前的看跌情境轉移到50.0%斐波那契水平(152.70),而 Kijun 線正接近該水平。只有在 Kijun 線之上突破,才能創造另一種情境,最初目標為 154.56 的上升潛力。

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在H4圖表上,Marlin振盪器的信號線形成了一個寬闊而延伸的楔形,這表明可能會向下突破。若跌破Kijun線和150.16水平(3月19日的高點),將確認突破並目標指向149.38。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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