empty
 
 
29.07.2022 06:31 AM
USD/JPY dips sharply, S2 (133.52) acts as support

The USD/JPY pair plunged as expected. Now, it has reached a new low of 133.44. Technically, the quotes turned to the downside as the US dollar index dropped while the yen rallied. It was trading at 133.52 at the time of writing. It could approach new lows anytime.

Fundamentally, USD took a hit from the US Advance GDP which reported a -0.9% drop compared to a 0.4% growth expected. Today, the Japanese economic data is mixed. The Retail Sales indicator reported a 1.5% growth versus the forecast figure of 2.8%, the Prelim Industrial Production surged by 8.9% versus 4.3%. The unemployment rate remained steady at 2.6% even if traders expected a potential drop to 2.5%. The Tokyo Core CPI rose by 2.3% exceeding the 2.2% growth forecasted.

Later, the Housing Starts and the Consumer Confidence indicators will be released as well. USD could be saved only by better than expected US figures. Core PCE Price Index, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Personal Spending, Personal Income, and the Chicago PMI could change the sentiment.

USD/JPY Massive Sell-Off

This image is no longer relevant

As you can see on the H1 chart, USD/JPY dropped after retesting 135.56. I told you in yesterday's analysis that the pair could extend its sell-off as long as it stays under this level and after sliding below 135.23.

Now, it has stabilized below the descending pitchfork's median line (ml) which represented a downside obstacle. It has ignored the weekly S2 (133.52) signaling a further drop.

USD/JPY Outlook

Failing to stay above the median line (ml) and dropping below the 134.19 level signaled more declines. This was seen as a short opportunity. Now, personally, I'll wait for the price to rebound before trying to go short again. It could come back to test and retest the S2 (133.52) or the median line (ml) before dropping deeper.

A rebound could bring new selling opportunities with a potential downside target at the lower median line (lml). The bias remains bearish as long as it stays under the median line (ml).

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In April we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback