empty
15.04.2025 06:29 AM
What to Pay Attention to on April 15? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

Quite a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Tuesday, but under the current circumstances, macroeconomic data mean little to the market. They might have a short-term local impact on the pair's movement, but everyone understands that the U.S. economy is not nearly bad enough to justify the dollar losing hundreds or even thousands of pips.

Today, ZEW economic sentiment indices and industrial production data will be published in the Eurozone. In the UK, we'll see unemployment data, jobless claims, and wage reports. The British figures could influence the Bank of England's monetary policy stance—but who is even paying attention to that stance right now? The dollar continues to fall even amid the Federal Reserve's relatively hawkish positioning.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

There is no point discussing fundamental events other than Trump's trade war. The dollar's decline could continue indefinitely. We recommend that traders focus on statements from top officials of the largest countries and economic alliances regarding tariffs. Trump said that any response to his actions aimed at "eliminating unfairness" would be met with harsh retaliation through new sanctions and tariffs.

At the same time, the U.S. president introduced a 90-day grace period for all countries except China, during which a uniform 10% import tariff will apply. According to Trump, this period will be used for trade negotiations. However, we'd like to remind you that the chances of reaching trade agreements with the EU and China are extremely low. Tariffs on China continue to rise, and there is no reason to believe China will be the first to seek a compromise. U.S. trade relations with China and the Eurozone matter most to the market.

General Conclusions:

On the second trading day of the new week, both currency pairs may fluctuate in either direction. The market remains in a state of panic and chaos, so there is no logic to the current price movements. News related to the trade war emerges daily, and it's impossible to predict when it will appear—or forecast Trump's next move.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Wall Street mantém a Casa Branca na linha

O mercado tem demonstrado uma sensibilidade cada vez maior a qualquer notícia positiva, mas os seus melhores dias parecem ter ficado para trás. A participação das ações norte-americanas no índice

Marek Petkovich 18:43 2025-04-24 UTC+2

O Fed precisa de mais tempo para avaliar a situação

Embora Donald Trump esteja tentando chegar a um acordo com a China, a governadora do Federal Reserve, Adriana Kugler, declarou que a atual política tarifária provavelmente exercerá pressão de alta

Jakub Novak 18:37 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trump precisa desesperadamente de um acordo com a China

O dólar dos EUA subiu acentuadamente em relação à maioria das principais moedas após o presidente Donald Trump declarar que planeja ser muito "cortês" com a China em qualquer negociação

Jakub Novak 18:28 2025-04-24 UTC+2

É provável que os mercados já tenham ultrapassado o ponto mais baixo de sua queda (há uma chance de queda contínua no EUR/USD e no GBP/USD)

Embora os mercados continuem focados nas guerras comerciais, principalmente entre os EUA e a China, os dados econômicos mais recentes indicam problemas estruturais persistentes nas economias avançadas da Europa

Pati Gani 18:09 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Em que prestar atenção em 24 de abril? Uma análise dos eventos fundamentais para iniciantes

Poucos eventos macroeconômicos estão programados para esta quinta-feira, mas os acontecimentos de ontem deixaram claro que o mercado continua a ignorar a maioria dos dados divulgados. Apenas alguns relatórios

Paolo Greco 17:48 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trump está jogando um jogo em que todos perdem

De acordo com uma autoridade sênior do Banco Central Europeu, o presidente Donald Trump atraiu o mundo inteiro para um jogo em que todos acabam perdendo - referindo-se

Jakub Novak 16:20 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Powell pode dormir tranquilamente

Os mercados reagiram com ganhos, e o dólar norte-americano se valorizou frente ao euro e a outros ativos de risco após o presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, declarar

Jakub Novak 15:53 2025-04-24 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Análise e previsão

O iene japonês mantém um viés altista, apesar de alguns obstáculos, e continua em destaque à medida que a aversão ao risco global reacende a demanda por ativos de refúgio

Irina Yanina 14:35 2025-04-24 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Análise e previsão

O ouro mantém um impulso positivo ao tentar consolidar-se acima do nível de US$ 3.300, sinalizando um crescente interesse dos investidores por esse ativo, tradicionalmente considerado um porto seguro

Irina Yanina 14:20 2025-04-24 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Análise e previsão

O GBP/JPY recua do nível psicológico de 190,00 — ou da máxima de duas semanas atingida mais cedo nesta terça-feira. Após a divulgação de dados decepcionantes dos PMIs do Reino

Irina Yanina 19:04 2025-04-23 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.